When Deep Blue flipped the chessboard and AlphaGo conquered the Go board, quite a few people resorted to mental gymnastics. “Chess and Go are games with perfect information laid bare on the board, right? If you just brute-force calculate all possible cases, of course a machine will win. But poker is different!” Yes, that’s right. Poker is a classic ‘incomplete information game’ where the opponent’s cards are hidden. Above all, it is a realm dominated by the uniquely human, exhausting psychological warfare of subtle facial muscle twitches, breathing patterns, and aggressive ‘bluffing’ where players just shove all their chips in. Gamblers confidently boasted that mere machines would never dare read or mimic the sticky psychology of humans. But what was the result? They were absolutely devastated; literally shaken to their core.
1. Human Psychological Warfare? Just Trivial Noise to a Machine
In 2017, the AI ‘Libratus,’ developed by Carnegie Mellon University, played a staggering 120,000 hands of Texas Hold’em against four world-class professional poker players over 20 days. The result was a complete and utter defeat for the humans, and in 2019, ‘Pluribus’ emerged, slaughtering multiple pros at a 6-player table.
How was this possible? For the first few hands, the humans might have ridden high, baiting the AI with brilliant bluffs and intuition. But as the game progressed to 10, 1,000, and 100,000 hands, the situation turned horrific. Humans get tired. When their focus wanes, they need to use the restroom, drink coffee, and upon returning from a short break, they might subtly lose the flow of the game. If they luckily win a massive pot, adrenaline surges and makes them arrogant; if they lose big, they get furious, fall into a state of ’tilt’ (mental breakdown), and make ridiculous decisions.
However, AI doesn’t get tired. Throughout all 120,000 hands, without even 0.001% of emotional fluctuation, it simply and mechanically applied the mathematically highest winning probabilities using ‘Game Theory Optimal’ (GTO) principles. The AI wasn’t reading human facial expressions; it was applying cold statistical calculations: “Holding these cards in this situation, unconditionally making a massive bet 15% of the time will maximize long-term profit.” In the face of the massive ocean of statistics, pitiful human psychological warfare and daily physical conditions were nothing more than fleeting, tacky noise.
2. Short-Term is a Fluke, Long-Term is the Ruthless Convergence of Probability
What if Libratus and the professional gamblers had played exactly 10 or 20 hands? There is a decent chance the humans could have won by a fluke. In a short-term game, there is plenty of room for variance, gut feelings, and sheer luck to overpower statistics. However, as the sample size surpasses the 100,000 mark and accumulates infinitely, messy variables like luck or mood are entirely chiseled away, ultimately converging flawlessly into essential statistical probabilities.
This is the true rule and essence of the world we are barely dragging ourselves through. We get intoxicated by one or two miracles or coincidences that happen in the short term and become overconfident in our own intuition, but the trajectories built up repeatedly over a long period are ultimately governed by merciless statistics. When humans feel good, they do things they wouldn’t normally do, and under the guise of ‘refreshing,’ they make erratic judgments that widen their margin of error. On the other hand, a system with firm statistical standards operates on the same principles whether it rests for a few days or a few years. Optimized outcomes born from millions of simulations easily trample over clumsy human ‘gut feelings’.
3. The 16 Personality Types: The Optimal Tool for Hacking Complex Humans
The implication of this chilling yet exhilarating event—AI utterly crushing the poker tables—is crystal clear. No matter how complex the world is or how unpredictable an individual’s inner thoughts may seem, once a sample is gathered and data accumulates, consistent behavioral patterns and probabilistic trajectories are inevitably revealed.
This is exactly why we cannot simply dismiss tools like the 16 personality types based on Carl Jung’s theories or traditional astrology as mere gossip or superstition. Big data on human behavior, accumulated over decades and centuries, has already formed massive statistical probabilities. This isn’t the classical physics arrogance of forcefully categorizing, “This person is a ‘Thinker’, so they must be absolutely cold-blooded!” Rather, it’s a chillingly piercing statistical approach: “A human with this cognitive structure has an over 85% probability of triggering this specific defense mechanism when faced with a certain stressful situation.”
Blindly clashing with others relying solely on your shallow intuition or feelings is no different from the arrogance of the poker players who bet their life savings trying to use superficial psychological warfare against Libratus. The result is obvious. It is ultimately us who will suffer emotional labor and mental breakdowns trying to cater to the constantly fluctuating moods of others.
4. Discard Intuition and Put on the Glasses of Cold Statistics
This world does not run on ‘vibes’ or ‘burning passion’. It rolls along driven by the cold, ruthless convergence of probability and statistics. Paradoxically, once you coolly accept this uncomfortable truth, life becomes surprisingly pleasant.
The unnecessary friction arising from human relationships, the uncontrollably fluctuating emotions within yourself, and the unreasonable actions of others that you just cannot control. You can simply write all these off as just a point on a massive statistical probability distribution. Instead of busting a vein trying to forcefully fix an incomprehensible person you meet, you build the mental fortitude to brush it off: “Ah, those types of people are probabilistically coded to act that way in the first place.”
We live in an era where even the psychological warfare of poker—believed to be the last bastion of humanity beyond Chess and Go—has been crushed by statistics. Do not waste your energy on clumsy gut feelings or emotional games in this dreadfully complex world. Coldly calculate your own statistical win rate, ride the macroscopic flow of probability, and extract the survival rules most advantageous to you. That is the true smartness needed to get hurt less and survive most cleverly among exhausting human beings.
✨ starsign16
Don’t be fooled by shallow, short-term flukes or fluctuating emotions. Just as AI crushed even the psychological warfare of the poker table with statistics, the complex unconsciousness and behavioral patterns of humans are also governed by massive probabilities. From the 16 personality types to human psychology analysis, move beyond cliché black-and-white logic and learn how to deconstruct and pierce through yourself and others using a cold statistical frame. Equip yourself with practical and spicy intellectual weapons at starsign16.com to pleasantly boost your life’s win rate without wasting unnecessary emotions.
Leave a Reply